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September 21, 2009
How far ahead is the top one ...Posted by Anantha Narayanan at in Batting
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Since I normally can only show 5/6 tables in any article to make the same readable, I will do the Test Batting now and follow with one on Test Bowling.
If an active player is at the top of an all-time list, he/she keeps on widening the gap on the second placed player, unless the top two or three are also active. This is true of the aggregate type of measures. On the other hand in performance related measures, it does not matter since it is possible for later players to catch up with the particular measure.
The tables are shown in a standardised format. The first five entries are shown to get an idea, not just of the top entry, but also the ones immediately following the top. Then the 50th entry, exactly at mid-point, is shown to get an idea of the % drop. Finally the 100th entry is shown to get a further idea of the table's distribution of the key measure.
1. Table of Batting averages (minimum 200 runs)
SNo.Batsman Cty Mat Inns No Runs Avge % 1.Bradman D.G Aus 52 80 10 6996 99.94 100.0 2.Pollock R.G ~ Saf 23 41 4 2256 60.97 61.0 3.Headley G.A Win 22 40 4 2190 60.83 60.9 4.Sutcliffe H Eng 54 84 9 4555 60.73 60.8 5.Barrington K.F Eng 82 131 15 6806 58.67 58.7 ... 50.Gilchrist A.C ~ Aus 96 137 20 5570 47.61 47.6 ... 100.Butcher B.F Win 44 78 6 3104 43.11 43.1This is the mother of all tables. The second placed player is nearly 40% off, making this, with almost exception, the most difficult performance measure to be breached. Over 10 Tests, yes, but over a career, positively no. Readers might recollect that Kallis is the one with the second highest 80-innings streak in history with an average of 76.41 which itself is 24% off Bradman's figure. Gilchrist at no.50 is at 47.6%, below the 50% mark. Butcher, at no.100 has a 43.6% value, indicating the bunching of players after the 50th position.
To view the complete list, please click here.
2. Table of Runs per Test (minimum 2000 runs)
SNo.Batsman Cty Mat RpT % 1.Bradman D.G Aus 52 134.5 100.0 2.Headley G.A Win 22 99.5 74.0 3.Pollock R.G ~ Saf 23 98.1 72.9 4.EdeC Weekes Win 48 92.8 69.0 5.Lara B.C ~ Win 131 91.2 67.8 ... 50.Fredericks R.C ~ Win 59 73.5 54.6 ... 100.Thorpe G.P ~ Eng 100 67.4 50.1As compared to Batting average, this table is a more even one. The difference between Bradman and the second player is only 26%. Also the 50th batsman is well above 50%. In fact, the 100th player, Thorpe, himself is above 50%.
To view the complete list, please click here
3. Table of Career runs scored
SNo.Batsman Cty Mat Runs % 1.Tendulkar S.R Ind* 159 12773 100.0 2.Lara B.C ~ Win 131 11953 93.6 3.Ponting R.T Aus* 136 11341 88.8 4.Border A.R ~ Aus 156 11174 87.5 5.Waugh S.R Aus 168 10927 85.5 ... 50.Richardson R.B Win 86 5949 46.6 ... 100.Mudassar Nazar Pak 76 4114 32.2 An '*' next to the team indicates that the player is still active.This table is the most intriguing of all. Tendulkar is ahead of the retired-Lara by over 6%, a comfortable margin. However the next player, Ponting is still active and he is about 11% behind. The key questions are whether Tendulkar would score enough runs to make the aggregate beyond Ponting's reach or Ponting would succeed in chipping away at the difference. BCCI's generally lukewarm scheduling of Tests is another factor. From now to retirement, Ponting would have to play around 16-18 Tests more than Tendulkar to overtake the master. No crystal-gazing is possible. Probably the odds are against it.
Richardson, like Gilchrist in Batting average table, is at 50th position with 46.6%. Then note how the % drops off basically because this is a longevity measure. Mudassar, in the 100th position, has an aggregate below a third of Tendulkar's.
To view the complete list, please click here
4. Table of Centuries (minimum 10)
SNo.Batsman Cty 100s % 1.Tendulkar S.R Ind* 42 100.0 2.Ponting R.T Aus* 38 90.5 3.Lara B.C ~ Win 34 81.0 4.Gavaskar S.M Ind 34 81.0 5.Waugh S.R Aus 32 76.2 ... 50.Sutcliffe H Eng 16 38.1 ... 100.Hussey M.E.K ~ Win* 10 23.8I normally do not do any analysis of centuries since I feel it is an over-rated measure. However it is one measure which many people talk about and I have done this table for those interested.
As compared to the Runs scored table, Ponting and Lara have interchanged places, indicating Ponting's penchant for reaching three figures. He is only 4 centuries behind Tendulkar. Ponting's century frequency is once in 3.6 Tests and Tendulkar's is 3.8 Tests. This slight difference, and the fact that there is a difference of below 10%, generates a gut-feeling within me that Ponting might at least equal whatever Tendulkar finishes with, in 100s, if not runs.
To view the complete list, please click here
5. Table of Zeroes scored (Min 20)
No.Batsman Cty Inns Zeroes % Freq 1.Walsh C.A Win 185 43 100.0 4.30 2.McGrath G.D Aus 138 35 81.4 3.94 3.Warne S.K Aus 199 34 79.1 5.85 4.Muralitharan M Slk* 159 33 76.7 4.82 5.Ambrose C.E.L Win 145 26 60.5 5.58 6.Dillon M Win 68 26 60.5 2.62 7.Martin C.S Nzl* 72 25 58.1 2.88 8.Morrison D.K Nzl 71 24 55.8 2.96 9.Chandrasekhar B.S Ind* 80 23 53.5 3.48 10.Danish Kaneria Pak 71 23 53.5 3.09 11.Waugh S.R Aus 260 22 51.2 11.82 12.Atapattu M.S Slk 156 22 51.2 7.09 13.Waqar Younis Pak 120 21 48.8 5.71 14.Ntini M Saf* 113 21 48.8 5.38 15.Harmison S.J Eng* 86 21 48.8 4.10 16.Bedi B.S Ind 101 20 46.5 5.05 17.Atherton M.A Eng 212 20 46.5 10.60This is a tribute to those wonderful breed of players who provide great entertainment to many. When Chris Martin starts to bat, his first run is looked forward to and applauded as enthusiastically as another batsman's 100th run. Barring three specialist batsmen, the other 14 are all wonderful bowlers, but mostly ineffective but entertaining batsmen.
Walsh leads with 43 ducks. McGrath follows him about 20% behind. Where is Martin. He is there in 7th position. Another 50 innings and he would cross Walsh.
I have done this table on the number of zeroes. The frequency is also shown. The table could as well have been on this figure, in which case Martin would have been, sorry to disappoint my favourite Kiwi readers, in second position, just behind Dillon.
A table of the highest individual scores reached does not belong to this analysis since that is a specific single innings event and does not warrant such a comparison. For 10 years, no one might reach 400 and in one week, two batsmen might go past it. However just for interest there is a 5% gap between the best and the next best score.
As requested by Richard Mackey I have added a table of Runs per innings also. This will be a fairer one for the middle order batsmen.
6. Table of Runs per Innings (minimum 2000 runs)
SNo.Bataman Cty Mat RpI % 1.Bradman D.G Aus 52 87.4 100.0 2.Pollock R.G ~ Saf 23 55.0 62.9 3.EdeC Weekes Win 48 55.0 62.9 4.Headley G.A Win 22 54.8 62.6 5.Sutcliffe H Eng 54 54.2 62.0 ... 50.Lloyd C.H ~ Win 110 42.9 49.1 ... 100.Graveney T.W Eng 79 39.7 45.4Who else but Bradman on top and a slight re-distribution of the second to fifth positions.
You can download the complete file by using the following link.
http://www.thirdslip.com/misc/perrpi.txt
Or please click here.
I will do the Bowler tables next week.
September 11, 2009
Follow-up on comparing halves of players' careersPosted by Anantha Narayanan at in Batting
There were two very good suggestions to the above referenced article which were worth following up. One was by Arjun to have the datum of 80 innings (Bradman's career) and see what is/was the best streak in players' career. The other was Abhi/Kris's suggestion that I could look at the career in three parts, rather than two, since in most careers there is a slow start, a spurt and a slow finish. I have completed these two tables and presented these here.
The usual criteria apply. For the first table, the minimum is 80 innings and a batting average exceeding 25.00. For the second, I have retained the mid-point limits of 4000 runs and 45 Tests as the cut-off for batsmen.
Test Batsmen: Analyzing the three career splits
SNo.For Batsman |<---Career---->|Start-third| Mid-third| End-third
|Mat Runs Avge|Runs Avge|Runs Avge|Runs Avge
| | | |
1.Aus Bradman D.G | 52 6996 99.94|2229 96.91|2643 97.89|2124 106.20
2.Eng Sutcliffe H | 54 4555 60.73|1805 78.48|1537 56.93|1213 48.52
3.Eng Barrington K.F | 82 6806 58.67|2111 54.13|2379 62.61|2316 59.38
4.Win EdeC Weekes | 48 4455 58.62|1602 66.75|1643 63.19|1210 46.54
5.Eng Hammond W.R | 85 7249 58.46|2519 58.58|2396 61.44|2334 55.57
6.Win Sobers G.St.A | 93 8032 57.78|2781 61.80|2783 60.50|2468 51.42
7.Eng Hobbs J.B | 61 5410 56.95|1773 57.19|2019 63.09|1618 50.56
8.Eng Hutton L | 79 6971 56.67|2193 56.23|2661 59.13|2117 54.28
9.Aus Ponting R.T |136 11341 55.87|2535 40.89|4530 68.64|4276 57.01
10.Slk Sangakkara K.C | 85 7308 55.36|1951 47.59|2258 48.04|3099 70.43
11.Pak Mohammad Yousuf | 82 7023 54.87|1712 40.76|2273 56.83|3038 66.04
12.Saf Kallis J.H |131 10277 54.66|2678 43.19|4209 67.89|3390 52.97
13.Ind Tendulkar S.R |159 12773 54.59|3617 50.24|5202 63.44|3954 49.42
14.Aus Chappell G.S | 87 7110 53.86|2310 53.72|2394 53.20|2406 54.68
15.Slk Jayawardene D.P.|107 8750 53.35|2653 49.13|2469 46.58|3628 63.65
16.Win Lara B.C |131 11953 52.89|3884 54.70|3504 44.92|4565 59.29
17.Pak Javed Miandad |124 8832 52.57|3074 53.93|2817 52.17|2941 51.60
18.Ind Dravid R |134 10823 52.54|3772 54.67|4001 61.55|3050 42.36
19.Zim Flower A | 63 4794 51.55|1310 43.67|1488 46.50|1996 64.39
20.Ind Gavaskar S.M |125 10122 51.12|3951 53.39|3362 54.23|2809 45.31
Average 45.91 44.28 46.84 45.10
(for all 101 batsmen)
The average of the averages figures indicates a clear move up of 5.7% from the first third to second third and a clear drop of 3.8% from the second to the third. Remember that these are on the grand average figure. Individual batsmen have clear move up and move down patterns.
Barrington, Hobbs, Hutton, Ponting (in a big way), Kallis (huge variations), Tendulkar, Dravid (again in a big way) are amongst the ones who have clearly identified low, up, low patterns.
Note the consistency across the complete career of Greg Chappell and Javed Miandad.
Sobers and Gavaskar are amongst those who have had great starts but fallen off drastically.
Bradman, Lara, Sangakkara, Mohammad Yousuf and Flower are those who have finished their careers very strongly.
To view the complete list, please click here.
Test Batsmen: By average sustained in 80+ innings
SNo.For Batsman Start Finish Inns No Runs Avge
Ins Year Ins Year
1.Aus Bradman D.G 1 (1928) to 80 (1948) 80 10 6996 99.94
2.Saf Kallis J.H 82 (2001) to 161 (2006) 80 19 4661 76.41
3.Aus Ponting R.T 87 (2002) to 178 (2006) 92 14 5904 75.69
4.Win Sobers G.St.A 28 (1958) to 111 (1968) 84 13 5283 74.41
5.Ind Dravid R 66 (2000) to 149 (2005) 84 14 4809 68.70
6.Eng Barrington K.F 34 (1961) to 121 (1968) 88 12 5154 67.82
7.Pak Mohammad Yousuf 42 (2000) to 122 (2006) 81 7 5008 67.68
8.Ind Tendulkar S.R 69 (1996) to 148 (2002) 80 8 4782 66.42
9.Eng Hutton L 42 (1947) to 123 (1954) 82 11 4687 66.01
10.Aus Hayden M.L 23 (2001) to 102 (2004) 80 8 4744 65.89
11.Eng Hammond W.R 15 (1928) to 97 (1936) 83 12 4672 65.80
12.Aus Waugh S.R 82 (1993) to 176 (1999) 95 23 4699 65.26
13.Slk Sangakkara K.C 61 (2004) to 142 (2009) 82 6 4899 64.46
14.Aus Border A.R 88 (1982) to 168 (1988) 81 14 4295 64.10
15.Win Lara B.C 126 (2000) to 205 (2005) 80 2 4985 63.91
16.Eng Hobbs J.B 15 (1910) to 95 (1930) 81 5 4827 63.51
17.Pak Inzamam-ul-Haq 91 (1999) to 175 (2005) 85 9 4795 63.09
18.Win Chanderpaul S 123 (2004) to 202 (2009) 80 17 3947 62.65
19.Eng Sutcliffe H 1 (1924) to 80 (1934) 80 9 4425 62.32
20.Pak Javed Miandad 72 (1982) to 152 (1989) 81 6 4604 61.39
Leaving the colossus outside the discussions, there is a surprise in the second position. I have kept repeating myself many a time. In all the discussions centering around Lara, Tendulkar and Ponting, Kallis has been ignored completely. People point to his lack of wicket-taking ability, forgetting the outstanding batting skills. He and Ponting are the only two batsmen who have averaged over 75 in a consecutive 80+ innings stretch. These two are closely followed by Sobers whose stretch obviously includes the 365*.
Dravid's purple patch comes next, followed by the recent stretch of Yousuf and the mid-career brilliance of Tendulkar. Hutton (not including his 364) and Hayden (including his 380) complete the top-10.
It can be seen that the 80+ innings stretch averages of the last 15 batsmen in the table are within 6 runs.
To view the complete list, please click here.
Test Batsmen: By average sustained in exactly 80 innings
SNo.For Batsman Start Finish Inns No Runs Avge
Ins Year Ins Year
1.Aus Bradman D.G 1 (1928) to 80 (1948) 80 10 6996 99.94
2.Saf Kallis J.H 82 (2001) to 161 (2006) 80 19 4661 76.41
3.Aus Ponting R.T 102 (2003) to 181 (2006) 80 13 5048 75.34
4.Win Sobers G.St.A 28 (1958) to 107 (1968) 80 12 4969 73.07
5.Ind Dravid R 96 (2002) to 175 (2006) 80 12 4652 68.41
6.Pak Mohammad Yousuf 42 (2000) to 121 (2006) 80 7 4884 66.90
7.Ind Tendulkar S.R 69 (1996) to 148 (2002) 80 8 4782 66.42
8.Aus Hayden M.L 23 (2001) to 102 (2004) 80 8 4744 65.89
9.Eng Hutton L 44 (1947) to 123 (1954) 80 10 4555 65.07
10.Eng Barrington K.F 27 (1961) to 106 (1966) 80 11 4462 64.67
11.Slk Sangakkara K.C 61 (2004) to 140 (2009) 80 6 4740 64.05
12.Eng Hammond W.R 15 (1928) to 94 (1936) 80 11 4416 64.00
13.Aus Border A.R 88 (1982) to 167 (1988) 80 14 4220 63.94
14.Aus Waugh S.R 77 (1993) to 156 (1998) 80 18 3963 63.92
15.Win Lara B.C 126 (2000) to 205 (2005) 80 2 4985 63.91
16.Eng Hobbs J.B 15 (1910) to 94 (1930) 80 5 4753 63.37
17.Win Chanderpaul S 123 (2004) to 202 (2009) 80 17 3947 62.65
18.Eng Sutcliffe H 1 (1924) to 80 (1934) 80 9 4425 62.32
19.Pak Inzamam-ul-Haq 100 (2000) to 179 (2006) 80 8 4470 62.08
20.Pak Javed Miandad 73 (1982) to 152 (1989) 80 5 4578 61.04
Arjun Hemnani wanted a table in which the stretch is exactly equal to 80 innings. I have created a different table and displayed the same here.
It can be seen that the exactly-80-innings average is slightly lower than that when more than 80 innings are considered since there is more flexibility in the extra innings. A below-average stretch can be more than made up with a very good sretch.
The tables look somewhat similar.