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July 19, 2010Posted by Madhusudhan Ramakrishnan on 07/19/2010 in Tests - bowling
Match winning Test bowlers
Curtly Ambrose: one of the best match winners
© Getty ImagesIn a recent Numbers game piece, the focus was on the match winning ability of South African spearhead Dale Steyn. Steyn has proven to be by far the best fast bowler in the last few years which have been predominantly in favour of batsmen. The earlier decades were more balanced with sporting pitches and presence of top quality fast bowlers in most teams. This prompted me to take a statistical look at match winning Test bowlers since 1970. Quite a few interesting numbers and names pop up during the course of this exercise.
The first table lists the bowlers with the best bowling averages in Test victories. Of all the bowlers, who have a minimum of 100 wickets in wins; Richard Hadlee has the best numbers. A stunning average of just over 13, with a strike rate of 33 further emphasises how important he was for New Zealand throughout his career. New Zealand did not win a single game when Hadlee wasn’t a part of the team. Imran Khan led Pakistan brilliantly throughout the 1980’s when they were the only team to compete with the West Indies, drawing three series against them. The presence of Dale Steyn at the top shows what an incredible match winner he has been for South Africa over the last few years.
Muttiah Muralitharan, who announced his retirement from Test cricket recently has been the key to Sri Lanka’s successes both home and away. His 16 wicket haul at the Oval enabled Sri Lanka to win their first series in England. Malcolm Marshall and Michael Holding were crucial to the success of the West Indies through the 70’s and 80’s. When both played together, the West Indies lost only a single match and won 19. Marshall was the best of the West Indian bowlers with excellent performances home and away and in all conditions. He averaged 23.05 in the subcontinent and an astounding 11.72 in subcontinent wins. The presence of Waqar Younis, Shoaib Akthar and Curtly Ambrose at the top clearly shows how vital they were to their team’s fortunes. Ambrose played quite a few matches in a team that was on its way down and together with Courtney Walsh, carried the hopes of success for the West Indies for much of the 90’s.
| Bowler | Team | Total Matches | Total Wickets | Matches won | Wickets in wins | Average in wins | Strike rate in wins | 5 | 10 |
| Sir Richard Hadlee | NZ | 86 | 431 | 22 | 173 | 13.06 | 33.5 | 17 | 8 |
| Imran Khan | Pak | 88 | 362 | 26 | 155 | 14.5 | 38.3 | 11 | 6 |
| Dale Steyn | SA | 40 | 205 | 21 | 149 | 16 | 28.2 | 13 | 4 |
| Muttiah Muralitharan | SL | 132 | 792 | 53 | 430 | 16.03 | 42.6 | 40 | 18 |
| Malcolm Marshall | WI | 81 | 376 | 43 | 254 | 16.78 | 38.1 | 17 | 4 |
| Allan Donald | SA | 72 | 330 | 33 | 187 | 16.79 | 35.5 | 14 | 3 |
| Curtly Ambrose | WI | 98 | 405 | 44 | 229 | 16.86 | 44.4 | 13 | 3 |
| Shoaib Akthar | Pak | 46 | 178 | 20 | 104 | 17.36 | 33.4 | 7 | 2 |
| Waqar Younis | Pak | 87 | 373 | 39 | 222 | 18.2 | 35 | 14 | 4 |
| Dennis Lillee | Aus | 70 | 355 | 31 | 203 | 18.27 | 39 | 17 | 6 |
| Shaun Pollock | SA | 108 | 421 | 49 | 223 | 18.3 | 47.5 | 9 | 1 |
| Michael Holding | WI | 60 | 249 | 31 | 152 | 18.36 | 40.1 | 6 | 1 |
| Wasim Akram | Pak | 104 | 414 | 41 | 211 | 18.48 | 42.3 | 13 | 2 |
| Anil Kumble | Ind | 132 | 619 | 43 | 288 | 18.75 | 44.4 | 20 | 5 |
| Glenn McGrath | Aus | 124 | 563 | 84 | 414 | 19.19 | 47.7 | 18 | 3 |
The next table lists the bowlers with the best averages in Test wins at home. The presence of Hadlee, Imran and Marshall is not surprising. Dennis Lillee was Australia’s best fast bowlers throughout his career and this is vindicated by his presence. Anil Kumble and Harbhajan Singh have been crucial to almost every Indian win at home over the last fifteen years. Muralitharan has been nothing short of exceptional in home conditions, enabling Sri Lanka to be a very potent force in home games. His average though does go up a notch when the matches against Bangladesh and Zimbabwe are not considered. He averages close to 18 with a strike rate of about 47 in games not involving these two teams. Ian Botham bowled brilliantly in the 1981 Ashes and his remarkable performances kept England competitive, but his average of nearly 32 against West Indies, the best team of his era was rather poor.
| Bowler | Team | Home matches | Wickets | Home matches won | Wickets in wins | Average | Strike rate | 5 | 10 |
| Sir Richard Hadlee | NZ | 43 | 201 | 15 | 109 | 13.95 | 34.9 | 9 | 3 |
| Imran Khan | Pak | 38 | 163 | 17 | 100 | 14 | 37 | 7 | 3 |
| Waqar Younis | Pak | 33 | 162 | 15 | 101 | 15.1 | 30.1 | 8 | 3 |
| Muttiah Muralitharan | SL | 72 | 485 | 36 | 297 | 15.21 | 41.9 | 29 | 13 |
| Allan Donald | SA | 38 | 177 | 21 | 127 | 16.36 | 33.5 | 11 | 2 |
| Anil Kumble | Ind | 63 | 350 | 28 | 208 | 17.38 | 44.8 | 16 | 5 |
| Malcolm Marshall | WI | 31 | 157 | 19 | 114 | 17.44 | 37.2 | 7 | 2 |
| Curtly Ambrose | WI | 52 | 203 | 26 | 131 | 17.5 | 46.2 | 7 | 2 |
| Shaun Pollock | SA | 59 | 235 | 35 | 155 | 18.5 | 47.1 | 7 | 1 |
| Dennis Lillee | Aus | 44 | 231 | 24 | 157 | 19.14 | 40.6 | 11 | 4 |
| Harbhajan Singh | Ind | 47 | 237 | 23 | 147 | 20.06 | 48.8 | 11 | 3 |
| Ian Botham | Eng | 59 | 226 | 22 | 120 | 20.13 | 43.6 | 11 | 1 |
| Courtney Walsh | WI | 58 | 229 | 27 | 127 | 20.4 | 49.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Craig McDermott | Aus | 43 | 193 | 20 | 107 | 20.53 | 44.2 | 7 | 2 |
| Glenn McGrath | Aus | 66 | 289 | 53 | 249 | 20.54 | 50.3 | 9 | 2 |
The list of bowlers with the best averages in away wins brings up some new names. Apart from the top bowlers like Marshall, Ambrose, Holding and McGrath, the presence of Zaheer Khan and Jason Gillespie is an excellent indicator of their superb away performances over the years. Gillespie, together with McGrath, formed the best opening bowling pair in the world for much of the first half of the 2000’s. Zaheer Khan’s bowling over the last few years has been instrumental in India’s improved away performances.
| Bowler | Team | Away matches | Wickets | Matches won | Wickets | Average | Strike rate | 5 | 10 |
| Curtly Ambrose | WI | 46 | 202 | 18 | 98 | 16.02 | 41.9 | 6 | 1 |
| Malcolm Marshall | WI | 50 | 219 | 24 | 140 | 16.25 | 38.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Glenn McGrath | Aus | 58 | 274 | 31 | 165 | 17.15 | 43.8 | 9 | 1 |
| Michael Holding | WI | 37 | 163 | 17 | 95 | 17.27 | 38.3 | 6 | 1 |
| Muttiah Muralitharan | SL | 60 | 307 | 17 | 133 | 17.88 | 44.3 | 11 | 5 |
| Wasim Akram | Pak | 63 | 260 | 25 | 128 | 18.9 | 43.8 | 8 | 1 |
| Courtney Walsh | WI | 74 | 290 | 25 | 112 | 18.95 | 42.7 | 7 | 1 |
| Waqar Younis | Pak | 54 | 211 | 24 | 121 | 20.79 | 9 | 6 | 1 |
| Shane Warne | Aus | 76 | 389 | 43 | 260 | 21.25 | 47.8 | 15 | 4 |
| Jason Gillespie | Aus | 42 | 149 | 27 | 115 | 22.1 | 45.7 | 5 | 0 |
| Anil Kumble | Ind | 69 | 269 | 15 | 80 | 22.28 | 43.5 | 4 | 0 |
| Zaheer Khan | Ind | 43 | 164 | 17 | 77 | 24 | 42.9 | 3 | 1 |
| Brett Lee | Aus | 35 | 124 | 23 | 80 | 30.38 | 52.4 | 2 | 0 |
The tables below take a look at the bowlers with the highest percentage of their wickets in wins. The presence of bowlers from Australia and West Indies on top is a clear indicator that they were part of world class teams. Stuart MacGill and Jason Gillespie picked up more than 75% of their wickets in wins. Three more Australians McGrath, Lee and Warne make up the list at the top along with Dale Steyn. Marshall and Holding are also high on the list but the numbers are a little lower considering the higher number of draws then. Ambrose, Muralitharan and Akram despite being world class match winners were never part of a top team throughout and they have picked up only about half their wickets in wins.
Also listed in the table is the percentage contribution by a bowler to a team’s wickets in wins. Muralitharan and Richard Hadlee contributed over 40 % of the team wickets in wins which undoubtedly is an indicator of the team’s dependence on them. McGrath and Warne were part of a much more powerful bowling attack and the numbers are much more evenly distributed between them. Marshall, despite being a part of a quality attack, was easily the finest bowler and contributed over 30% of the team wickets in wins. Anil Kumble’s bowling was the single biggest reason why India were among the best at home through the 90’s and 2000’s and his contribution of almost 35% of the team’s wickets illustrates that.
| Bowler | Team | Matches | Wickets | Matches won | Wickets in wins | Average in wins | % of total wickets | Team Wickets | % of team wickets |
| Stuart MacGill | Aus | 44 | 208 | 31 | 165 | 24.4 | 79.32 | 598 | 27.59 |
| Jason Gillespie | Aus | 71 | 259 | 47 | 197 | 21.68 | 76.06 | 909 | 21.67 |
| Glenn McGrath | Aus | 124 | 563 | 84 | 414 | 19.19 | 73.53 | 1607 | 25.76 |
| Dale Steyn | SA | 41 | 211 | 22 | 155 | 15.85 | 73.46 | 426 | 36.38 |
| Brett Lee | Aus | 76 | 310 | 54 | 225 | 27.52 | 72.58 | 1034 | 21.76 |
| Shane Warne | Aus | 145 | 708 | 92 | 510 | 22.47 | 72.03 | 1765 | 28.89 |
| Malcolm Marshall | WI | 81 | 376 | 43 | 254 | 16.78 | 67.55 | 828 | 30.67 |
| Jacques Kallis | SA | 140 | 266 | 68 | 167 | 23.41 | 62.78 | 1312 | 12.72 |
| Michael Holding | WI | 60 | 249 | 31 | 152 | 18.36 | 61.04 | 601 | 25.29 |
| Makhaya Ntini | SA | 101 | 390 | 50 | 233 | 22.21 | 59.74 | 966 | 24.12 |
| Waqar Younis | Pak | 87 | 373 | 39 | 222 | 18.2 | 59.51 | 761 | 29.17 |
| Dennis Lillee | Aus | 70 | 355 | 31 | 203 | 18.27 | 57.18 | 600 | 33.83 |
| Allan Donald | SA | 72 | 330 | 33 | 187 | 16.79 | 56.67 | 627 | 29.82 |
| Curtly Ambrose | WI | 98 | 405 | 44 | 229 | 16.86 | 56.54 | 839 | 27.29 |
| Muttiah Muralitharan | SL | 132 | 792 | 53 | 430 | 16.03 | 54.29 | 1018 | 42.23 |
| Harbhajan Singh | Ind | 83 | 355 | 35 | 192 | 21.67 | 54.08 | 675 | 28.44 |
| Shaun Pollock | SA | 108 | 421 | 49 | 223 | 18.3 | 52.96 | 940 | 23.72 |
| Wasim Akram | Pak | 104 | 414 | 41 | 211 | 18.48 | 50.96 | 804 | 26.24 |
| Chaminda Vaas | SL | 111 | 355 | 43 | 166 | 22.63 | 46.76 | 822 | 20.19 |
| Anil Kumble | Ind | 132 | 619 | 43 | 288 | 18.75 | 46.52 | 838 | 34.36 |
| Courtney Walsh | WI | 132 | 519 | 52 | 239 | 19.72 | 46.05 | 992 | 24.09 |
| Ian Botham | Eng | 102 | 383 | 33 | 172 | 20.09 | 44.90 | 631 | 27.25 |
| Imran Khan | Pak | 88 | 362 | 26 | 155 | 14.5 | 42.81 | 506 | 30.63 |
| Sir Richard Hadlee | NZ | 86 | 431 | 22 | 173 | 13.06 | 40.13 | 424 | 40.80 |
Australia, did not lose a single series at home for over 15 years until the loss to South Africa in 2009. This dominance can be seen in Glenn McGrath’s extraordinary figures of 87% of wickets in home wins. Steve Harmison is the surprise entry at the top, with 80% of his home wickets in wins. The other top bowlers in home wins include the Australians Warne and Lee and fast bowlers Malcolm Marshall and Allan Donald.
Muralitharan, as expected contributes 43% to the team wickets in home wins, while Anil Kumble and Hadlee are not far behind with about 38%. The Australian pairing of McGrath and Warne contributes a more even 25%.
| Bowler | Team | Home matches | Wickets at home | Matches won | Wickets | Average | % of wickets | Team Wickets | % of team wickets |
| Glenn McGrath | Aus | 66 | 289 | 53 | 249 | 20.54 | 86.15 | 1013 | 24.58 |
| Steve Harmison | Eng | 32 | 133 | 23 | 107 | 25.74 | 80.45 | 428 | 25 |
| Shane Warne | Aus | 69 | 319 | 49 | 250 | 23.73 | 78.37 | 934 | 26.76 |
| Brett Lee | Aus | 41 | 186 | 31 | 145 | 25.93 | 77.95 | 585 | 24.78 |
| Stuart MacGill | Aus | 27 | 135 | 20 | 105 | 24.20 | 77.77 | 386 | 27.20 |
| Malcolm Marshall | WI | 31 | 157 | 19 | 114 | 17.44 | 72.61 | 368 | 30.97 |
| Allan Donald | SA | 38 | 177 | 21 | 127 | 16.36 | 71.75 | 401 | 31.67 |
| Jacques Kallis | SA | 74 | 148 | 44 | 105 | 24.92 | 70.94 | 849 | 12.36 |
| Dennis Lillee | Aus | 44 | 231 | 24 | 157 | 19.14 | 67.96 | 463 | 33.91 |
| Shaun Pollock | SA | 59 | 235 | 35 | 155 | 18.50 | 65.95 | 675 | 22.96 |
| Makhaya Ntini | SA | 53 | 249 | 32 | 162 | 20.66 | 65.06 | 617 | 26.25 |
| Curtly Ambrose | WI | 52 | 203 | 26 | 131 | 17.50 | 64.53 | 496 | 26.41 |
| Waqar Younis | Pak | 33 | 162 | 15 | 101 | 15.10 | 62.34 | 290 | 34.82 |
| Harbhajan Singh | Ind | 47 | 237 | 23 | 147 | 20.06 | 62.02 | 446 | 32.95 |
| Imran Khan | Pak | 38 | 163 | 17 | 100 | 14.00 | 61.34 | 333 | 30.03 |
| Muttiah Muralitharan | SL | 72 | 485 | 36 | 297 | 15.21 | 61.23 | 692 | 42.91 |
| Anil Kumble | Ind | 63 | 350 | 28 | 208 | 17.38 | 59.42 | 545 | 38.16 |
| Chaminda Vaas | SL | 56 | 180 | 28 | 103 | 22.22 | 57.22 | 538 | 19.14 |
| Courtney Walsh | WI | 58 | 229 | 27 | 127 | 20.40 | 55.45 | 513 | 24.75 |
| Craig McDermott | Aus | 43 | 193 | 20 | 107 | 20.53 | 55.44 | 395 | 27.08 |
| Sir Richard Hadlee | NZ | 43 | 201 | 15 | 109 | 13.95 | 54.22 | 286 | 38.11 |
| Ian Botham | Eng | 59 | 226 | 22 | 120 | 20.13 | 53.09 | 422 | 28.43 |
The final table looks at the percentage of wickets in away wins and the contribution to team wickets in away wins. Jason Gillespie is on top here with almost 77% of his away wickets coming in wins. Shane Warne and Brett Lee, who were also a part of the top class Australian team make up the top three. Marshall and McGrath were consistent performers for their respective teams in away conditions and their presence is justified. Pakistan’s opening bowling pair of Wasim Akram and Waqar Younis pick up about 50% of their wickets in away wins. Zaheer Khan and Anil Kumble are the biggest contributors to Indian away wins in the last decade.
As expected, Muralitharan contributes 43% of the team’s wickets in away wins, despite the Sri Lankan team not being as dominant away as in home conditions. Shane Warne and Malcolm Marshall, with more than 30% contribution to team wickets definitely prove their worth in away matches.
| Bowler | Team | Away matches | Wickets away | Matches won | Wickets | Average | % of wickets | Team Wickets | % of team wickets |
| Jason Gillespie | Aus | 42 | 149 | 27 | 115 | 22.10 | 77.18 | 527 | 21.82 |
| Shane Warne | Aus | 76 | 389 | 43 | 260 | 21.25 | 66.83 | 831 | 31.28 |
| Brett Lee | Aus | 35 | 124 | 23 | 80 | 30.38 | 64.51 | 449 | 17.81 |
| Malcolm Marshall | WI | 50 | 219 | 24 | 140 | 16.25 | 63.92 | 460 | 30.43 |
| Glenn McGrath | Aus | 58 | 274 | 31 | 165 | 17.15 | 60.21 | 594 | 27.77 |
| Michael Holding | WI | 37 | 163 | 17 | 95 | 17.27 | 58.28 | 334 | 28.44 |
| Waqar Younis | Pak | 54 | 211 | 24 | 121 | 20.79 | 57.34 | 471 | 25.69 |
| Wasim Akram | Pak | 63 | 260 | 25 | 128 | 18.90 | 49.23 | 490 | 26.12 |
| Curtly Ambrose | WI | 46 | 202 | 18 | 98 | 16.02 | 48.51 | 343 | 28.57 |
| Zaheer Khan | Ind | 43 | 164 | 17 | 77 | 24.00 | 46.95 | 328 | 23.47 |
| Muttiah Muralitharan | SL | 60 | 307 | 17 | 133 | 17.88 | 43.32 | 326 | 40.79 |
| Courtney Walsh | WI | 74 | 290 | 25 | 112 | 18.95 | 38.62 | 479 | 23.38 |
| Anil Kumble | Ind | 69 | 269 | 15 | 80 | 22.28 | 29.73 | 293 | 27.30 |
* Team wickets are in matches involving player.
Some great numbers there. The amazing thing is, you see a lot of names common in almost all the lists. Truly some real fast bowling legends.
Whilst I read these analyses with facination. I find it offensive the Bangladesh and Zimbabwe seem to be regular taunted as minnows when Murali stats are compared. If this is the case, surely Sri Lanka were the whipping boys during their formative years and wicket taken against SL should be taken out too from the bowlers who managed to get those cheapie wicket?
Philip Gnana, New Malden, Surrey
Some stats are skewed where players did not bowl at all or little in a test, eg. Imran Khan. In his first Indian Tour, Imran was injured and played I think two tests where he hardly bowled. Then against Austrailia he batted only. Then in India in 1985, he played 5 tests where he hardly bowled due to the nature of the wickets. If you look at his away record apart from these 12-13 tests, its phenominal. Wickets per Balls bowled in a test is a better indicator.
Second, we should mine more data. No fast bowler has fared well in India and same with Pak before discovery of reverse swing. English & Aussie bowlers have been taking many cheap wickets against technically weak teams in seaming & swinging conditions at home. Structure a pitch difficulty factor, a team difficulty factor (read Bangladesh & Zim, NZ, India & SL starting out) and a differenciation between fast & spinning surfaces. Eg. spinners should be discounted & fast bowlers given extra points in India. Reverse for England.
Imran, as far as I can recall, did not bowl a single ball in the following games:
Australia @ Sydney and Melbourne 1983-84 2 games
England @ Birmingham 1987 1 game
West Indies @ Lahore and Karachi 1990-92 2 games
Sri Lanka @ Sialkot and Gujranwala 1991-92 2 games
7 matches in all
very good list .. some real cricketing legends ...........
Before harbhajan singh of today and yesteryear's anil kumble or kapil dev- long time back india had the legspinner B.S. Chandrashekhar(58 tests, 1964-1979, 242 wickets at 29.74 average). Cricnifo profile on him reads as- For a nation starved of wins abroad, Chandra was a rare jewel: he was for long India's biggest match-winner overseas, with 42 wickets in five Tests.No one among India's famed spin quartet was more likely to deliver an unplayable ball than Chandra. His 6 for 38 at The Oval in 1971 gave India their first series victory in England and he was instrumental in India's first win in Australia in 1978, taking 12 for 104 at Melbourne. How does Chandra fare compared to the bowlers that u have mentioned in ur tables?
I was wondering why no South Africans made the AWAY lists. Statsguru showed that no South African has captured 75 wickets in away wins. Closest is Steyn with 74 @ average 15.7 / strike rate 28.2.
Great analysis.
Now a very pedantic question - but why is it that the total numbe rof team wickets is not 20 X no. of tests won.
I understand that this could be because (a) you exclude run outs OR (b) teams that lose despite declarations. But often the difference is too large. Look at McGrath : 84 test wins means his team should have taken 1680 wickets, and not 1607. 73 wickets ...
What am I missing here ?
Y Anantha Narayanan has over 35 years of IT background. Over the past 15 years, he has been concentrating on Cricket analysis and software development. He has been involved with StumpVision, Wisden, Hallmark Software and his own site www.thirdslip.com during this period.
David Barry was cricket-starved when teaching English in France, and study of cricket stats was his only way to stay sane. He is now back in Brisbane, Australia, and working towards a PhD in Physics. He once played for the worst team in the G-division of Muscat's cricket league.
Rajesh After doing an MBA in marketing and working in an advertising agency, S Rajesh decided that his skills might be put to better use by number-crunching on cricket. He hasn’t regretted that decision in the last six years, and edits the Numbers Game column on cricinfo.com every Friday.
Rajesh Kumar A product of Delhi's Shri Ram College of Commerce, Rajesh Kumar pursued cricket statistics at an early age before joining a nationalised bank, where he served for over two decades. He opted for a VRS nine years back, and hasn't regretted that decision. Apart from being a regular contributor to the Wisden Cricketers' Almanack over the years, Rajesh brought out five World Cup editions for Australia's Peter Murray. He has assisted Bill Frindall from 1980 till his death in January 2009 for the publications of various editions of The Wisden Book of Test Cricket, The Guinness Book of Cricket Facts and Feats, The Wisden Book of Cricket Records, Limited-Overs International Cricket and Playfair Cricket Annual.
Gabriel Rogers was born on the ninety-somethingth birthday of Test cricket, and his fate may well have been sealed from that moment. His day-job revolves around medical statistics, and he is interested in applying principles from the field to the analysis of cricket data. Gabriel has spent most of his life in the south-west of England, but has recently moved to Manchester; he hasn't quite worked out yet whether living in a city with a Test ground is adequate compensation for moving away from his beloved Somerset CCC.
Ric Finlay Having just taken early retirement as a Mathematics teacher in Hobart, Ric Finlay now fully devotes his time to recording cricket, both past and present, for the popular CSW cricket database, along with his colleague David Fitzgerald (www.tastats.com.au). His interest in the game is inversely proportional to his ability as a player, but he did once score a century after being dropped at 3 and running out three of his team-mates. His first memory of international cricket is the 1962-63 MCC tour of Australia, described as one of the most boring ever. Totally fascinated, he was instantly hooked, and has never looked back. Author of three books on cricket of a historical nature, he has provided statistics and scored for radio and television cricket coverage since 1983.